Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Camargo vs Tim Roman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tim Roman
us

Tim Roman

“The Contract Killer”

3-4-0WelterweightXKO

1472Average

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record3-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height6'1"
-ReachUnknown
161 lbsWeight171 lbs
Strikers MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tim Roman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+15→ 1504
If they lose-17→ 1472
Tim RomanNow 1472
If they win+25→ 1497
If they lose-23→ 1449

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.14
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Leandro CamargoTim Roman
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
6 (86%)
Submission
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo75%
Tim Roman 25%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 75% favorite over Tim Roman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1472, a 17-point edge.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tim Roman 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.