Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Camargo vs Zach Light

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zach Light
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Zach Light

“The Lisbon Outlaw”

9-11-0WelterweightS70

1456Average

Tale of the tape

7-8-0Record9-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-ReachUnknown
161 lbsWeight170.4 LBS
Strikers MMATeamWolfslair

What's at stake

Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Zach Light carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+14→ 1503
If they lose-18→ 1471
Zach LightNow 1456
If they win+18→ 1474
If they lose-14→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.83
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.69
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
6.21
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Leandro CamargoZach Light
1400145015001550200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
6 (86%)
Submission
4 (44%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo78%
Zach Light 22%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 78% favorite over Zach Light in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1456, a 33-point edge.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Zach Light 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.