Leandro Higo vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-0Record30-12-2
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Leandro Higo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1637
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leandro HigoNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leandro Higo62%
Nik Lentz 38%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Higo a 62% favorite over Nik Lentz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nik Lentz's way (47%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1652, a 18-point edge.
Leandro Higo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leandro Higo finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.