Combat Edge Intelligence

Leandro Silva vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Leandro Silva
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Leandro Silva

“Buscape / Apollo”

28-12-1LightweightOKMMA

1671Good

Tale of the tape

28-12-1Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
42,0"Reach39,5"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leandro SilvaNow 1671
If they win+12→ 1683
If they lose-12→ 1659
Marcin HeldNow 1672
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1609 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.39
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
49%
Strike accuracy
35%
2.08
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
63%
Strike defense
47%
1.76
Takedown avg.
2.46
38%
Takedown accuracy
47%
66%
Takedown defense
38%
0.44
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Leandro SilvaMarcin Held
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (11%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
11 (39%)
Submission
15 (52%)
14 (50%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Held66%
Leandro Silva 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 66% favorite over Leandro Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1672), separated by just 1 points.

Leandro Silva finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.