Combat Edge Intelligence

Leo Brichta vs Niklas Backstrom

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record11-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Hanuman Thai BoxingTeamAllstars Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leo BrichtaNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Niklas BackstromNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.12
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.92
TBD
Takedown accuracy
80%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.19

Trajectory

Leo BrichtaNiklas Backstrom
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
4 (29%)
Submission
4 (36%)
2 (14%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Brichta66%
Niklas Backstrom 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Brichta a 66% favorite over Niklas Backstrom in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.

Niklas Backstrom enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leo Brichta finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Niklas Backstrom 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.