Combat Edge Intelligence

Leo Brichta vs Pablo Garza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pablo Garza
us

Pablo Garza

“The Scarecrow”

12-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1606Solid

Tale of the tape

14-7-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'1"
72"ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Hanuman Thai BoxingTeamAcademy of Combat Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leo BrichtaNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Pablo GarzaNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
TBD
Strike defense
50%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
15%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Leo BrichtaPablo Garza
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
4 (29%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (14%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Leo Brichta62%
Pablo Garza 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leo Brichta a 62% favorite over Pablo Garza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.

Leo Brichta finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.