Leon Edwards vs Magomed Magomedkerimov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-6-0Record34-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74" Reach73.00"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1808
If they lose-12→ 1784
If they win+12→ 1812
If they lose-12→ 1788
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1780 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leon EdwardsMagomed Magomedkerimov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leon Edwards52%
Magomed Magomedkerimov 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Leon Edwards a 52% favorite over Magomed Magomedkerimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Magomedkerimov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1796 vs 1800), separated by just 4 points.
Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Magomed Magomedkerimov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Leon Edwards finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedkerimov 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.