Combat Edge Intelligence

Leon Shahbazyan vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record0-0-0
WelterweightDivisionTBD
6'2"HeightTBD
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeightTBD
Glendale Fighting ClubTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leon ShahbazyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
52%
Strike accuracy
42%
8.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
32%
Strike defense
55%
1.46
Takedown avg.
3.51
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
89%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Leon ShahbazyanMatthew Riddle
155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
11 (92%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan52%
Matthew Riddle 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 52% favorite over Matthew Riddle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Leon Shahbazyan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.