Combat Edge Intelligence

Leon Shahbazyan vs Nick Osipczak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Glendale Fighting ClubTeamTeam Rough House

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leon ShahbazyanNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Nick OsipczakNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
52%
Strike accuracy
51%
8.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.77
32%
Strike defense
51%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.20
50%
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Leon ShahbazyanNick Osipczak
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
11 (92%)
Submission
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leon Shahbazyan66%
Nick Osipczak 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Leon Shahbazyan a 66% favorite over Nick Osipczak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.

Leon Shahbazyan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nick Osipczak 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.