Leonardo Guimaraes vs Rainy Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-1Record0-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight195 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
Rainy Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1449
If they lose-15→ 1417
If they win+22→ 1480
If they lose-26→ 1432
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo GuimaraesRainy Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rainy Martinez60%
Leonardo Guimaraes 40%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Rainy Martinez a 60% favorite over Leonardo Guimaraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Rainy Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1458 to 1432, a 26-point edge.
Rainy Martinez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.