Leonardo Guimaraes vs Takahiro Oba
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-14-1Record5-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight198 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
Takahiro Oba is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Leonardo Guimaraes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1450
If they lose-14→ 1418
If they win+14→ 1482
If they lose-18→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo GuimaraesTakahiro Oba
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Guimaraes54%
Takahiro Oba 46%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Guimaraes a 54% favorite over Takahiro Oba in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takahiro Oba's way (45%).
Takahiro Oba holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1468 to 1432, a 36-point edge.
Leonardo Guimaraes finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Takahiro Oba 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.