Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Silva vs Mike Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record12-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
75"Reach82,5"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
China TeamTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo SilvaNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
Mike RodriguezNow 1590
If they win+16→ 1606
If they lose-16→ 1574

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.35
40%
Strike accuracy
54%
0.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.24
50%
Strike defense
41%
24.11
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
38%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Leonardo SilvaMike Rodriguez
160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
10 (83%)
4 (18%)
Submission
2 (17%)
6 (27%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Silva58%
Mike Rodriguez 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 58% favorite over Mike Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Rodriguez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1590), separated by just 2 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Mike Rodriguez 100%.

Mike Rodriguez carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.