Leonardo Silva vs Rafael Xavier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record14-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75"Reach78"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
China TeamTeamSayyato Performance Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo SilvaRafael Xavier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Leonardo Silva and Rafael Xavier within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1579), separated by just 9 points.
Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Xavier 86%.
Rafael Xavier carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.