Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Silva vs Roger Hollett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roger Hollett
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Roger Hollett

“The Hulk”

13-5-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1588Solid

Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
China TeamTeamTitans MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo SilvaNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
Roger HollettNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
1.83
40%
Strike accuracy
47%
0.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.47
50%
Strike defense
34%
24.11
Takedown avg.
1
50%
Takedown accuracy
29%
0%
Takedown defense
30%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Leonardo SilvaRoger Hollett
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
4 (18%)
Submission
7 (54%)
6 (27%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Silva60%
Roger Hollett 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 60% favorite over Roger Hollett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1588), separated by just 0 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Roger Hollett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Roger Hollett 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.