Combat Edge Intelligence

Leonardo Silva vs Taylor Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-10-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
China TeamTeamAmerican Top Team Portland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Leonardo SilvaNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
Taylor JohnsonNow 1593
If they win+16→ 1609
If they lose-16→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.07
Sig. strikes / min
5.09
40%
Strike accuracy
60%
0.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.13
50%
Strike defense
33%
24.11
Takedown avg.
8.49
50%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Leonardo SilvaTaylor Johnson
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
4 (18%)
Submission
2 (22%)
6 (27%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Taylor Johnson59%
Leonardo Silva 41%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Johnson a 59% favorite over Leonardo Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1593), separated by just 5 points.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leonardo Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Johnson 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.