Leonardo Silva vs Tom Lawlor
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-0Record11-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
75"Reach74,0"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
China TeamTeamThe Jungle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Leonardo SilvaTom Lawlor
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leonardo Silva66%
Tom Lawlor 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 66% favorite over Tom Lawlor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1583), separated by just 5 points.
Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leonardo Silva finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Tom Lawlor 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.