Combat Edge Intelligence

Levan Makashvili vs TJ Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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TJ Brown
us

TJ Brown

“Downtown”

20-12-0LightweightRDC

1601Solid

Tale of the tape

20-9-1Record20-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
39,0"Reach72"
146 lbsWeight156 lbs
Mutant MMATeamWestside MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Levan MakashviliNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
TJ BrownNow 1601
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
55%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.89
61%
Strike defense
49%
3.67
Takedown avg.
3.41
42%
Takedown accuracy
58%
85%
Takedown defense
37%
0
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Levan MakashviliTJ Brown
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
4 (20%)
1 (5%)
Submission
12 (60%)
12 (60%)
Decision
4 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

TJ Brown58%
Levan Makashvili 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes TJ Brown a 58% favorite over Levan Makashvili in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.

Levan Makashvili enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Levan Makashvili finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.