Levy Saúl Marroquín vs Matt Grice
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-3-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combate Libre AcademyTeamR-1 MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Levy Saúl MarroquínMatt Grice
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Levy Saúl Marroquín56%
Matt Grice 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Levy Saúl Marroquín a 56% favorite over Matt Grice in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Grice's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.
Levy Saúl Marroquín enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Levy Saúl Marroquín finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Matt Grice 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.