Combat Edge Intelligence

Liam Gittins vs Matt Hobar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Liam Gittins

Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1607Solid
Matt Hobar
us

Matt Hobar

“The Crowbar”

9-3-0BantamweightUFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record9-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
65"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamOctagon MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liam GittinsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Matt HobarNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.23
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Liam GittinsMatt Hobar
1600165020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
3 (23%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (23%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Gittins53%
Matt Hobar 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Gittins a 53% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hobar's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Liam Gittins finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Matt Hobar 56%.

Matt Hobar carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.