Combat Edge Intelligence

Liam Gittins vs Takeya Mizugaki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Liam Gittins

Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record23-14-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamHakkei Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Liam GittinsNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Takeya MizugakiNow 1608
If they win+12→ 1620
If they lose-12→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
37%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.46
TBD
Takedown accuracy
58%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Liam GittinsTakeya Mizugaki
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (54%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
3 (23%)
Submission
1 (4%)
3 (23%)
Decision
17 (74%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Gittins60%
Takeya Mizugaki 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Gittins a 60% favorite over Takeya Mizugaki in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Takeya Mizugaki's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Liam Gittins finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Takeya Mizugaki 26%.

Takeya Mizugaki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.