Liliya Shakirova vs Mariya Agapova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record10-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Old School MMATeamMMA Science Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Liliya ShakirovaMariya Agapova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Liliya Shakirova60%
Mariya Agapova 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Liliya Shakirova a 60% favorite over Mariya Agapova in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1613 vs 1613), separated by just 0 points.
Mariya Agapova enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Liliya Shakirova finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Mariya Agapova 80%.
Liliya Shakirova and Mariya Agapova share 1 common opponent: Na Liang.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.