Combat Edge Intelligence

Lisa Ellis vs Silvana Gómez Juárez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record11-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'3"
TBDReach65"
110 lbsWeight116 lbs
United Training CenterTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Silvana Gómez Juárez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lisa Ellis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lisa EllisNow 1531
If they win+13→ 1544
If they lose-11→ 1520
Silvana Gómez JuárezNow 1547
If they win+15→ 1562
If they lose-17→ 1530

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
49%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.04
57%
Strike defense
62%
4.19
Takedown avg.
0
64%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
30%
0.60
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lisa EllisSilvana Gómez Juárez
155016002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
11 (73%)
Submission
2 (18%)
4 (27%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Silvana Gómez Juárez60%
Lisa Ellis 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Silvana Gómez Juárez a 60% favorite over Lisa Ellis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Silvana Gómez Juárez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1547 to 1531, a 16-point edge.

Lisa Ellis enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Silvana Gómez Juárez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lisa Ellis finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Silvana Gómez Juárez 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.