Combat Edge Intelligence

Lodune Sincaid vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Lodune Sincaid
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Lodune Sincaid

“The Vanilla Gorilla”

15-9-0MiddleweightSincaid MMA

1584Solid

Tale of the tape

15-9-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lodune SincaidNow 1584
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.05
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
29%
Strike accuracy
53%
15.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
50%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
75%
Takedown defense
65%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lodune SincaidTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
8 (53%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Tafon Nchukwi62%
Lodune Sincaid 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tafon Nchukwi a 62% favorite over Lodune Sincaid in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1588), separated by just 4 points.

Lodune Sincaid enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lodune Sincaid finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.