Logan Storley vs Lorenz Larkin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record27-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
71"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1776
If they lose-16→ 1744
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Logan StorleyLorenz Larkin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Logan Storley70%
Lorenz Larkin 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Logan Storley a 70% favorite over Lorenz Larkin in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lorenz Larkin's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1760 vs 1766), separated by just 6 points.
Lorenz Larkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Logan Storley finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Lorenz Larkin 56%.
Lorenz Larkin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.