Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenz Larkin vs Ramazan Kuramagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

27-8-0Record14-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Millennia MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lorenz LarkinNow 1766
If they win+12→ 1778
If they lose-12→ 1754
Ramazan KuramagomedovNow 1773
If they win+16→ 1789
If they lose-16→ 1757

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.53
Sig. strikes / min
11.67
46%
Strike accuracy
68%
2.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
9.13
64%
Strike defense
54%
0.27
Takedown avg.
1
43%
Takedown accuracy
14%
79%
Takedown defense
0%
0.09
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lorenz LarkinRamazan Kuramagomedov
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (56%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (43%)
12 (44%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Ramazan Kuramagomedov80%
Lorenz Larkin 20%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ramazan Kuramagomedov a 80% favorite over Lorenz Larkin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1766 vs 1773), separated by just 7 points.

Lorenz Larkin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ramazan Kuramagomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Lorenz Larkin finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Ramazan Kuramagomedov 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.