Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenzo de Nigris vs Ning Guangyou

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record5-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'5"
-Reach64.00
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ning Guangyou carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+23→ 1524
If they lose-25→ 1476
Ning GuangyouNow 1483
If they win+25→ 1508
If they lose-23→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.66
TBD
Strike accuracy
42%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.91
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Lorenzo de NigrisNing Guangyou
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (100%)
Submission
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris70%
Ning Guangyou 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 70% favorite over Ning Guangyou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1483, a 18-point edge.

Ning Guangyou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ning Guangyou 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.