Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenzo de Nigris vs Rob Whiteford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Whiteford

Rob Whiteford

“The Hammer”

17-5-0FeatherweightPFL

1509Average

Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'9"
-Reach69.00
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamDinky Ninjas

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+25→ 1526
If they lose-23→ 1478
Rob WhitefordNow 1509
If they win+23→ 1532
If they lose-25→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.99
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.90
TBD
Takedown accuracy
30%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lorenzo de NigrisRob Whiteford
150015502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (47%)
2 (100%)
Submission
1 (6%)
0 (0%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris60%
Rob Whiteford 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 60% favorite over Rob Whiteford in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Whiteford's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1509), separated by just 8 points.

Rob Whiteford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rob Whiteford 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.