
Lorenzo de Nigris vs Rocky Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Rocky Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 75% favorite over Rocky Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1432, a 69-point edge.
Rocky Lee enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rocky Lee 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.