Combat Edge Intelligence

Lorenzo de Nigris vs Sam Debalke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-2-0Record1-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"HeightTBD
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sam Debalke carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+22→ 1523
If they lose-26→ 1475
Sam DebalkeNow 1475
If they win+26→ 1501
If they lose-22→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lorenzo de NigrisSam Debalke
150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (100%)
2 (100%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Lorenzo de Nigris63%
Sam Debalke 37%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 63% favorite over Sam Debalke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1475, a 26-point edge.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.