Lorenzo de Nigris vs Wagner Campos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record12-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Ligorio Top TeamTeamFight Only
What's at stake
Lorenzo de Nigris is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Wagner Campos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1521
If they lose-28→ 1473
If they win+19→ 1460
If they lose-13→ 1428
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lorenzo de NigrisWagner Campos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lorenzo de Nigris72%
Wagner Campos 28%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Lorenzo de Nigris a 72% favorite over Wagner Campos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Lorenzo de Nigris holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1501 to 1441, a 60-point edge.
Wagner Campos enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Wagner Campos 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.