Luan Duarte vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rob Emerson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Luan Duarte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1476
If they lose-15→ 1444
If they win+15→ 1491
If they lose-17→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte64%
Rob Emerson 36%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 64% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rob Emerson's way (48%).
Rob Emerson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1476 to 1459, a 17-point edge.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.