Luan Duarte vs Rodrigo de Lima
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record9-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamCoalizao Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
If they win+23→ 1491
If they lose-25→ 1443
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteRodrigo de Lima
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte63%
Rodrigo de Lima 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 63% favorite over Rodrigo de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rodrigo de Lima's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1468), separated by just 9 points.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rodrigo de Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo de Lima 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.