Luan Duarte vs Yusuf Nazokatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-12-0Record3-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
Yusuf Nazokatov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Luan Duarte carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1477
If they lose-14→ 1445
If they win+21→ 1518
If they lose-27→ 1470
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luan DuarteYusuf Nazokatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusuf Nazokatov61%
Luan Duarte 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusuf Nazokatov a 61% favorite over Luan Duarte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Yusuf Nazokatov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1497 to 1459, a 38-point edge.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yusuf Nazokatov 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.