Combat Edge Intelligence

Luana Pinheiro vs Melissa Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record8-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
62"Reach 66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamBonebreakers Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luana PinheiroNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Melissa MartinezNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.42
Sig. strikes / min
3.90
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.03
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.33
62%
Strike defense
56%
1.80
Takedown avg.
0.50
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
69%
Takedown defense
25%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luana PinheiroMelissa Martinez
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
5 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Martinez62%
Luana Pinheiro 38%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Martinez a 62% favorite over Luana Pinheiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1610), separated by just 4 points.

Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Luana Pinheiro finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Martinez 63%.

Melissa Martinez carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.