Combat Edge Intelligence

Luca Poclit vs Tarec Saffiedine

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luca PoclitNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641
Tarec SaffiedineNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.06
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.52
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
85%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Luca PoclitTarec Saffiedine
16501700201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
6 (60%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (30%)
Decision
10 (63%)

Combat Edge model read

Luca Poclit66%
Tarec Saffiedine 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luca Poclit a 66% favorite over Tarec Saffiedine in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tarec Saffiedine's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1657 vs 1659), separated by just 2 points.

Luca Poclit enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tarec Saffiedine enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Luca Poclit finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Tarec Saffiedine 38%.

Luca Poclit carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.