Lucas Almeida vs Mark Cherico
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KioshiTeamMark Cherico's Martial Arts & Fitness Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlmeidaMark Cherico
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Cherico52%
Lucas Almeida 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Cherico a 52% favorite over Lucas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.
Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Mark Cherico 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.