Lucas Almeida vs T.J. Laramie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record14-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'6"
71"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KioshiTeamMaximum Training Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlmeidaT.J. Laramie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
T.J. Laramie61%
Lucas Almeida 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes T.J. Laramie a 61% favorite over Lucas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Almeida's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1651), separated by just 0 points.
Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
T.J. Laramie enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, T.J. Laramie 79%.
Lucas Almeida and T.J. Laramie share 1 common opponent: Pat Sabatini.
Lucas Almeida carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.