Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Almeida vs Tatsuya Ando

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record14-4-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KioshiTeamFreelance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas AlmeidaNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
Tatsuya AndoNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.94
Sig. strikes / min
0
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lucas AlmeidaTatsuya Ando
165017002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
5 (33%)
Submission
4 (29%)
1 (7%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Almeida52%
Tatsuya Ando 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 52% favorite over Tatsuya Ando in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1649), separated by just 2 points.

Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Ando 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.