Lucas Gabriel vs Max Griffin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0 Record 20-13-0
Welterweight Division Welterweight
5'9" Height 5'11"
74" Reach 76"
170 lbs Weight 170 lbs
Nova Uniao Phuket Team MMAGOLD Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas Gabriel Max Griffin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Gabriel83%
Max Griffin17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Gabriel a 83% favorite over Max Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1671 vs 1669), separated by just 2 points.
Lucas Gabriel enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Lucas Gabriel finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.
Max Griffin carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.