Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Gamaza vs Yusaku Kinoshita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach71,5"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamPancrase Inagakigumi

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas GamazaNow 1530
If they win+16→ 1546
If they lose-16→ 1514
Yusaku KinoshitaNow 1527
If they win+16→ 1543
If they lose-16→ 1511

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.12
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lucas GamazaYusaku Kinoshita
15502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
3 (38%)
Submission
2 (33%)
5 (63%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Yusaku Kinoshita59%
Lucas Gamaza 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Yusaku Kinoshita a 59% favorite over Lucas Gamaza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Gamaza's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1530 vs 1527), separated by just 3 points.

Yusaku Kinoshita enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Lucas Gamaza finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Yusaku Kinoshita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.