Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucie Pudilová vs Paige VanZant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-11-0Record8-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'4"
67"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamGracie Barra Portland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucie PudilováNow 1575
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563
Paige VanZantNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.35
38%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
50%
Strike defense
43%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.27
32%
Takedown accuracy
33%
68%
Takedown defense
34%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Lucie PudilováPaige VanZant
1600201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
2 (25%)
2 (13%)
Submission
3 (38%)
10 (67%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Paige VanZant60%
Lucie Pudilová 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paige VanZant a 60% favorite over Lucie Pudilová in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucie Pudilová's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1574), separated by just 1 points.

Lucie Pudilová finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Paige VanZant 63%.

Lucie Pudilová carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.