Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira vs Nandor Guelmino
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record11-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
42,5"ReachTBD
253 lbsWeight230 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamGym 23
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNandor Guelmino
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira52%
Nandor Guelmino 48%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 52% favorite over Nandor Guelmino in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nandor Guelmino's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1555), separated by just 6 points.
Nandor Guelmino enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nandor Guelmino 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.