Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira vs Neil Grove

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Neil Grove

Neil Grove

“Goliath”

12-8-1HeavyweightBFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record12-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'6"
42,5"ReachTBD
253 lbsWeight264 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamDaigaku Karate Kai London

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537
Neil GroveNow 1557
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
0
44%
Strike accuracy
0%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
47%
Strike defense
100%
3.09
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.03
Submission avg.
14.29

Trajectory

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNeil Grove
1550201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
12 (100%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira55%
Neil Grove 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 55% favorite over Neil Grove in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Neil Grove's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1557), separated by just 8 points.

Neil Grove enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Neil Grove 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.