Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira vs Oli Thompson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oli Thompson

Oli Thompson

“The Spartan”

22-16-0Light HeavyweightGOR MMA

1541Average

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record22-16-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
42,5"ReachTBD
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamZT Fight Skool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537
Oli ThompsonNow 1541
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.66
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.31
47%
Strike defense
47%
3.09
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
1.03
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraOli Thompson
155020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
14 (67%)
8 (50%)
Submission
4 (19%)
4 (25%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira66%
Oli Thompson 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 66% favorite over Oli Thompson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1541), separated by just 8 points.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Oli Thompson 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.