Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira vs Łukasz Brzeski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record9-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
42,5"Reach78"
253 lbsWeight236 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamNKSW Holy Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537
Łukasz BrzeskiNow 1535
If they win+17→ 1552
If they lose-15→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
5.02
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.68
47%
Strike defense
55%
3.09
Takedown avg.
0.43
37%
Takedown accuracy
33%
50%
Takedown defense
37%
1.03
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraŁukasz Brzeski
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
8 (50%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira59%
Łukasz Brzeski 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 59% favorite over Łukasz Brzeski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1535), separated by just 14 points.

Łukasz Brzeski enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Łukasz Brzeski 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.