Luiz Dutra vs Taylor Michels
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-7-1Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamAcademy of Combat Arts
What's at stake
Taylor Michels is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Luiz Dutra carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1502
If they lose-22→ 1454
If they win+22→ 1520
If they lose-26→ 1472
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luiz DutraTaylor Michels
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Taylor Michels72%
Luiz Dutra 28%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Taylor Michels a 72% favorite over Luiz Dutra in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Taylor Michels holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1498 to 1476, a 22-point edge.
Luiz Dutra enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luiz Dutra finishes 54% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.