Combat Edge Intelligence

Lukasz Sajewski vs Rolando Bedoya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'11"
71,0"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Mighty Bulls GdyniaTeamChute Boxe

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lukasz SajewskiNow 1617
If they win+16→ 1633
If they lose-16→ 1601
Rolando BedoyaNow 1622
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.06
Sig. strikes / min
7.29
36%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.38
58%
Strike defense
53%
1.01
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
0%
67%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lukasz SajewskiRolando Bedoya
16001650170020242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
8 (53%)
Submission
3 (21%)
5 (33%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rolando Bedoya67%
Lukasz Sajewski 33%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Rolando Bedoya a 67% favorite over Lukasz Sajewski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1622), separated by just 5 points.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Lukasz Sajewski finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rolando Bedoya 50%.

Rolando Bedoya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.