Combat Edge Intelligence

Luke Cummo vs Nonato Junior

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-6-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamGameness Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luke CummoNow 1515
If they win+16→ 1531
If they lose-16→ 1499
Nonato JuniorNow 1525
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
43%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
60%
Strike defense
TBD
0.89
Takedown avg.
TBD
56%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.42
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Luke CummoNonato Junior
150015501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
1 (17%)
Submission
16 (84%)
1 (17%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Nonato Junior66%
Luke Cummo 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 66% favorite over Luke Cummo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1525), separated by just 10 points.

Nonato Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luke Cummo finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.