Luke Rockhold vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'0"
77"Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1736 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luke RockholdRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker63%
Luke Rockhold 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 63% favorite over Luke Rockhold in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luke Rockhold's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1742 vs 1739), separated by just 3 points.
Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luke Rockhold finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.
Luke Rockhold and Robert Whittaker share 1 common opponent: Paulo Costa.
Luke Rockhold carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.