Lyle Beerbohm vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
BJJ SpokaneTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1754
If they lose-12→ 1730
If they win+12→ 1751
If they lose-12→ 1727
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1517 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lyle BeerbohmRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robert Whittaker60%
Lyle Beerbohm 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Robert Whittaker a 60% favorite over Lyle Beerbohm in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lyle Beerbohm's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1742 vs 1739), separated by just 3 points.
Lyle Beerbohm enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lyle Beerbohm finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.